TERMS OF REFERENCE SUMMARY INFORMATION

January 2025

Contents

Content                                                                                                            Page

Background Information                                                                                                          3

Terms of Reference                                                                                                                 5

Deliverables                                                                                                                             6

Payment Schedule                                                                                                                   7

Submission of Proposal                                                                                                          7

Disclaimer                                                                                                                               7

1.       BACKGROUND INFORMATION  

1.1      Coastal Resilience in Lagos

Lagos is one of Africa’s largest and fastest-growing megacities with a population of over 25 million people, a gross domestic product of 84 billion USD and a growth of 77 people per hour between 2010 and 2030. It is located on swampy mangroves along Nigeria’s Atlantic Coastline. Surrounded by wetlands, lagoons and the Atlantic Ocean, Lagos is battling with water resilience challenges. The city slopes north to south, with the built-up region at one metre above sea level along the coast and 75 meters above sea level in the north. The natural vegetation is saltwater mangrove swamp forest but has been replaced by impermeable surfaces due to rapid urbanization. The coastal region is extremely vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, including sea level rise and increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events. The ever-increasing rate of urbanization, population growth, demand for land for development and the attraction for coastal areas for residential schemes by the wealthy has resulted in huge reclamation activities which further reduce coastlines and makes rural coastal communities even more prone to flooding and displacement.

Lagos has been recognised as one of the 6 most vulnerable megacities in the world from the effects of sea level rise due to climate change and sinking land (NASA Study 2016). The physical coastal pressure due to the urbanisation of Lagos, Victoria Island and the entire Lekki corridor is already enormous and continues accelerating in an unstoppable way. The coastal erosion, mainly originating from the Commodore Channel breakwater structures, has been combatted by man-made interventions that spread over approximately 15 kilometres on the ocean. However, erosion is still taking place where these interventions stop (CDR International, 2024).

Water is a critical resource in Lagos, and the city’s coastal resilience is an important factor in its overall resilience to these challenges. These challenges present a significant threat to the growth and development of the city. To move towards sustainable urbanization, the city needs to protect its coastal areas to be resilient to hazards including those associated with climate change. There are different multilateral corporations with high-end business activities across economic value chains, including oil and gas, food and beverages, technological and hardware manufacturers, agricultural producers and other competitive sectors. The City Governance structure consists of different Ministries, Departments and Agencies, with mandates of managing the operations of different aspects of the City’s economy, including about 15 water-related institutions. The coastal areas of Lagos State are occupied by more than 50% of its population, impeding its economic activities due to certain vulnerabilities. To improve the city’s economic comparative advantage, there is a need for a collaborative approach by all water stakeholders in the State, to lead the development and deployment of innovative solutions that mitigate against the impacts of climate change and build the resilience of coastal areas.

The project, State Partnership for Coastal Resilience Initiative (SPCRI) is bringing together water stakeholders in the State, to catalyse cross-sector collaboration and governance that will advance State-wide action to address coastal risk and improve coastal resilience.

1.2      State Partnership for Coastal Resilience Initiative

The Lagos State Partnership for Coastal Resilience Initiative is a public-private partnership model that brings together water stakeholders, to catalyze cross-sector collaboration that advances actions to address coastal risk and improve coastal resilience. The initiative seeks to promote a collaborative approach that identifies key issues mitigating coastal resilience, ranging from policy and advocacy challenges, community capacity issues, finance and investment complexities, and infrastructural deficits, and promote the development of innovative nature-based solutions that sustainably improve the resilience of coastal area dwellers. The project seeks to organize water-related stakeholders and institutions in Lagos State, to build a consultative platform that identifies, manages the coastal economy of the State, and enhances community capacity for engagement and participation, while serving as a means that will take the city from the stage of diagnosing and identifying coastal economy challenges, to developing and deploying innovative and sustainable nature-based solutions to improve coastal resilience and promote the economic activities of the coastal regions.

Project Objectives:

1. Improve the climate resilience of the coastal regions of Lagos State through, community empowerment, advocacy and policy reforms that protect the region and promote community rights and local economic activity.
2. Identify and develop a portfolio of bankable coastal resilience projects with different finance mechanisms for investment in the State.
3. Promote the identification and development of community-driven nature-based solutions to improve city coastal resilience and promote local economic activity.

Objective 2 focuses on the identification of a portfolio of bankable coastal resilience projects, and developing the projects with different finance and revenue generation mechanisms in the State. The coastal resilience working group of the Lagos Water Partnership is an established platform that brings stakeholders together to coordinate the implementation of the objective of this project.

The coastal resilience working group has identified two projects for development to meet the objectives of this initiative. The projects include Lagos Lagoon City Project and Construction of 105 Groynes from Alpha Beach to Lekki Free Trade Zone. This pre-feasibility study will focus on the Lagos Lagoon City project.

2. TERMS OF REFERENCE

The objective of this Terms of Reference (TOR) is to provide a guide on the scope of work, deliverables and timeline required to deliver the pre-feasibility assessment of the proposed Lagos Lagoon City Project. For this TOR, the Work will be divided into three Scopes namely.

1: Stakeholder mapping and analysis for the Lagos Lagoon City project

2. Commercial assessment of the proposed project
3. Development of project business case
4. Development of implementation plan and pre-feasibility report

Scope 1: Stakeholder mapping and analysis for the proposed Lagos Lagoon City project

1. Mapping of relevant stakeholders in the proposed project, from project sponsors, developers, policy and regulatory institutions, investors and financers, civil society organizations etc.
2. Data collection and validation with identified stakeholders on proposed project design and scope, location, project components and infrastructure etc.
3. Desk review of project concept note.
4. Conduct interview with stakeholders on contents of concept note, especially with developers and investors, to develop a revised and validated project concept.

Note: The consultant is expected to carry out consultation workshops with stakeholders to complete the scope above.

Scope 2: Commercial assessment of proposed Lagos Lagoon City Project

1. Conduct a market and commercial assessment of different components of the Lagoon City project.
2. Validate assessment result with project stakeholders and develop a commercial viability report for the proposed project.

Note: The consultant is expected to carry out consultation workshops with stakeholders including project developers and EPC partners to complete the scope above.

Scope 3: Development of project business case

1. Develop a project business case based on data collected and reviewed project concept note.
2. Validate project business case with project sponsor and relevant stakeholders.

Note: The consultant is expected to carry out consultation workshops including validation workshops with stakeholders to complete the scope above.

Scope 4: Development of implementation plan and pre-feasibility report

1. Develop a project implementation plan and pre-feasibility report with clear illustration of roles, activities, financial cost forecast, revenue generation model, timeline etc.
2. Develop a list of potential project investors, developers and other key partnership for project implementation.

Note: The consultant is expected to carry out consultation workshops with stakeholders to validate the proposed implementation plan to complete the scope above.

3. DELIVERABLES

The Deliverables (D), as outlined in Table 3.1, under this project will be in four workstreams;

Table 3.1: Deliverable and the Acceptance Criteria for Scopes 1 , 2 and 3

Note: D means Deliverable

Maps, graphics, drawings, tables and other interactive information are expected at the relevant portions of each deliverable.

4. PAYMENTS SCHEDULE

The scope of work is in three workstreams; D1 Stakeholder mapping and analysis for the Lagos Lagoon City project; D2 Commercial assessment of the proposed project; D3 Development of project business case; D4 Development of implementation plan and pre-feasibility report. The payment schedule of this project is pegged as contained in Table 5.1 below;

Table 4.1: Payment Schedule  

5. SUBMISSION OF PROPOSALS

Interested consultants (organizations preferably) can submit a copy of their proposal to procurementng@wateraid.org on or before 11:59 pm (Lagos time) on February 6, 2025. All questions related to this TOR by interested Consultants should be directed by email to procurementng@wateraid.org. Please ensure that all financial proposals are submitted in Naira.

6. DISCLAIMER

The Resilient Water Accelerator (RWA)/WaterAid will not accept any liability or be responsible for any costs incurred by interested consultants in preparing a response for this TOR. Neither the issue of the TOR nor any of the information presented in it should be regarded as a commitment or representation on the part of RWA/WaterAid (or any of its partners) to enter into a contractual arrangement.